Crypto VCs Map 2025 Landscape with Incumbents Stablecoins and Prediction Markets

TLDR

• Incumbents like Robinhood thrived in 2025 after regulatory clarity emerged.
• Stablecoin issuer Tether emerged as one of the most profitable companies in crypto.
• Prediction markets like Polymarket saw rapid growth after major investments.
• The SEC’s prior hostile stance on crypto led to challenges for the industry.

In a recent podcast, venture capital partners from Pantera Capital, Hash3, and Variant analyzed the evolving crypto landscape. They identified stablecoins, incumbents, and prediction markets as the clear winners in 2025. These sectors have thrived due to a mix of clearer regulatory environments, growth in customer adoption, and significant investments.

Winners: Stablecoins, Incumbents, and Prediction Markets

The regulatory clarity seen in 2025 has been a game changer for several key players in the crypto world. Pantera Capital’s Mason Nystrom noted that incumbents, like Robinhood, have greatly benefited from a more transparent regulatory environment. Previously cautious, Robinhood took aggressive steps in 2025 to expand its crypto offerings. Nystrom stated, “They have done an excellent job getting ahead of where the puck is skating.”

Meanwhile, Hash3’s Hootie Rashidifard pointed to the success of stablecoins, especially Tether. Tether not only became the most profitable crypto company but also garnered attention for its ability to provide real value to customers.

Rashidifard explained, “In 2022-2023, no one was touting their stablecoin-founded project as the cool thing. Now people are like, ‘wow, that’s a really sticky interesting business.’” This shift reflects a growing recognition of stablecoins’ real-world utility, far beyond mere revenue generation.

Variant’s Alana Levin emphasized the rise of prediction markets, such as Kalshi and Polymarket. These platforms experienced significant growth in 2025, especially after the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) made a massive $2 billion investment into Polymarket. Levin remarked, “A year ago, both Kalshi and Polymarket were under a billion-dollar valuation, and now they’ve surged, with major institutional backing.”

Losers: Do Kwon and the SEC

Despite the optimism around certain sectors, some key figures and institutions were labeled as losers by the venture capitalists. Alana Levin pointed to Do Kwon, co-founder of Terraform Labs, as a major individual loser. Kwon was sentenced to 15 years in prison in December 2025 for fraud related to the collapse of Terraform’s Terra stablecoin project. This event erased nearly $40 billion from the market in 2022, leaving a lasting impact on the crypto industry.

Hootie Rashidifard also criticized the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) during the “Biden-era.” He explained that the SEC’s aggressive enforcement in previous years was ineffective and politically charged. “The SEC’s actions pushed many founders overseas before the policy shift in 2025,” said Rashidifard.

This shift came after the departure of former SEC Chair Gary Gensler, paving the way for the passage of the GENIUS Act and a crypto market structure bill. These legislative changes signal a more balanced approach to crypto regulation.

Regulatory Shifts and Their Effects

The regulatory changes in 2025 have helped bring stability to the crypto market, leading to growth in several sectors. The passage of the GENIUS Act, which established a federal framework for stablecoin regulation, marked a key moment in this transition.

Additionally, the crypto market structure bill, although delayed until 2026, promises to provide further clarity for the industry. These shifts suggest that the regulatory environment will continue to evolve in favor of innovation and growth, especially for stablecoins, prediction markets, and incumbents.

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