Decoupling: Crypto Goes Up While US Stock Market Goes Down

2025/09/03 03:19

Historically, the cryptocurrency market, led by Bitcoin BTC $110 619 24h volatility: 1.2% Market cap: $2.20 T Vol. 24h: $53.56 B , has registered a significant correlation to the US stock market, most of the time moving upward when stocks go up and downward when stocks go down. This correlation is now being challenged on September 2, with the United States back from Labor Day holidays.

In particular, the S&P 500 started the day with a 1.48% drop at 6,364 points, while BTC was registering 1.58% gains at $110,987 per coin, according to data from Google Finance.

S&P 500 chart (left) and Bitcoin price chart (right) on September 2 | Source: Google Finance

S&P 500 chart (left) and Bitcoin price chart (right) on September 2 | Source: Google Finance

Moreover, not only is Bitcoin decoupling from the US stock market. Altcoins are also registering significant gains, as TradingView’s crypto total market cap index hovers above $3.77 trillion, up 1.5% intraday.

Earlier today, Coinspeaker covered Michael van de Poppe blaming gold’s rally for the delayed altseason, mentioning a risk-on and risk-off positioning battle for institutional and retail investors. Nevertheless, the market is giving signals of a starting altseason while gold continues to register new highs.

Among these signals, there is the Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D), which has broken down from a multi-year uptrend, with BTC capital slowly rotating to altcoins. A trend is also seen among institutional investors regarding ETH ETF inflows and old Bitcoin whales selling BTC to accumulate Ethereum—both previously reported by Coinspeaker.

Additionally, the Altseason Index on Coinglass “has climbed to 61,” the crypto analyst who goes by Lucky highlighted on X. According to him, this stage sets the way for the next altcoin season.

Bitcoin Diverges from S&P 500 Trading Pattern

Bitcoin price has a historical correlation to the S&P 500, with both making similar movements up and down, as observed in the cross-asset chart from TradingView. Nevertheless, there are moments in the chart where we can see BTC decoupling from the US stock market leading indicator to, first, print huge gains and, later, experience large crashes back to the correlation trail.

Two notable moments of such activity were in 2017—marking the second-largest bull market in crypto history, followed by the first relevant altseason with BTC.D dropping from over 90% to sub-40%—and 2021, marking the largest crypto bull market, featuring the second big altseason with Bitcoin market cap dominance dropping from 70% to, again, sub-40%.

BTC/USD and SPX 1W correlation chart | Source: TradingView

BTC/USD and SPX 1W correlation chart | Source: TradingView

As of this writing, BTC.D goes at around 58%, after peaking at 65% this cycle, and Bitcoin teases a decoupling from the stock market. In an intersection between the two worlds, Michael Saylor’s company Strategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) announced another massive Bitcoin purchase, scooping over 4,000 BTC for $449 million, close to what could be a local bottom.

next

The post Decoupling: Crypto Goes Up While US Stock Market Goes Down appeared first on Coinspeaker.

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.
Share Insights

You May Also Like

Remarkable: US Bitcoin Miners’ Market Cap Soars to $39 Billion

Remarkable: US Bitcoin Miners’ Market Cap Soars to $39 Billion

BitcoinWorld Remarkable: US Bitcoin Miners’ Market Cap Soars to $39 Billion The world of digital assets is constantly evolving, and a significant trend has recently captured the attention of investors and industry watchers alike. The combined market capitalization of US Bitcoin miners has reached an unprecedented peak, signaling a pivotal shift in their operational strategies and market valuation. This remarkable growth points to more than just mining Bitcoin; it highlights a strategic pivot that could redefine the future of these companies. What’s Fueling the Surge in US Bitcoin Miners’ Valuation? According to a recent report by JPMorgan, cited by Decrypt, the aggregate market capitalization of 13 publicly listed US Bitcoin miners hit an all-time high of $39 billion in August. This isn’t just a number; it represents a significant vote of confidence from the market. The investment bank attributes this record valuation primarily to the miners’ aggressive expansion into two cutting-edge technologies: Artificial Intelligence (AI): Companies are leveraging AI for optimizing mining operations, predicting market trends, and potentially even for other data-intensive services. High-Performance Computing (HPC): This involves using their powerful infrastructure for tasks beyond just Bitcoin mining, such as data centers for AI training, scientific research, and other computationally demanding applications. This strategic diversification showcases a forward-thinking approach, positioning these companies as more than just crypto miners but as technology infrastructure providers. Are US Bitcoin Miners Facing Headwinds Despite Growth? While the market cap tells a story of success, the operational reality for US Bitcoin miners presents a more nuanced picture. The same JPMorgan report highlights some significant challenges that are impacting their core business: Bitcoin Halving Impact: The recent Bitcoin halving event reduced the reward for mining new blocks by half. This directly impacts revenue per block. Rising Network Hashrate: An increasing number of miners joining the network means more competition for block rewards, making it harder for individual miners to secure a share. Bitcoin Price Fluctuations: A decline in Bitcoin’s price during the period also contributed to a decrease in the dollar value of the mined rewards. These factors collectively led to a slight decline in profitability for these companies compared to the previous month, July. It creates a fascinating dynamic: high valuation driven by future potential (AI/HPC) versus immediate pressures on traditional mining revenue. Navigating the Dual Strategy: Opportunities and Challenges for US Bitcoin Miners The pivot towards AI and HPC is a strategic move for US Bitcoin miners, offering both immense opportunities and considerable challenges. On one hand, it allows them to diversify revenue streams, making them less reliant on Bitcoin’s price volatility and mining difficulty. By repurposing their vast computing power, they can tap into the booming demand for AI infrastructure. However, this transition is not without its hurdles. It requires significant capital investment in new hardware, software, and specialized talent. The expertise needed to run an AI data center is different from that required for a Bitcoin mining farm. Moreover, competition in the AI and HPC sectors is fierce, with established tech giants already dominating the space. Successfully integrating these new ventures while maintaining efficient mining operations will be crucial for long-term success. What Does This Mean for the Future of US Bitcoin Miners? The current landscape suggests a transformative period for US Bitcoin miners. Their ability to adapt and innovate by integrating AI and HPC services into their business models is a testament to their resilience. This diversification could provide a more stable and diversified earnings profile, potentially attracting a broader range of investors beyond the traditional crypto space. However, the immediate pressure on mining profitability means that these companies must execute their AI and HPC strategies flawlessly to justify their elevated market valuations. The coming months will be critical in demonstrating the tangible benefits of these new ventures and solidifying their position as key players in both the digital asset and high-tech infrastructure industries. FAQs About US Bitcoin Miners’ Market Cap and Strategy Q1: What is the primary reason for the record market cap of US Bitcoin miners? A1: The primary reason is their strategic expansion into Artificial Intelligence (AI) and High-Performance Computing (HPC), which diversifies their business beyond traditional Bitcoin mining. Q2: How does AI and HPC contribute to the valuation of these companies? A2: By utilizing their existing computing infrastructure for AI training, data centers, and other high-demand computational tasks, these companies can create new revenue streams and attract investors looking for growth in the tech sector. Q3: What challenges are US Bitcoin miners currently facing? A3: They are facing reduced mining revenue due to the recent Bitcoin halving, increased network hashrate leading to higher competition, and a decline in Bitcoin’s price, all of which impact their profitability. Q4: Is the shift to AI and HPC a sustainable strategy for these companies? A4: It has the potential to be sustainable by diversifying revenue and reducing reliance on Bitcoin price. However, it requires significant investment, new expertise, and successful execution to compete in the established AI/HPC markets. Q5: How does the Bitcoin halving impact mining profitability? A5: The Bitcoin halving event cuts the reward for mining new blocks by half, directly reducing the revenue miners earn for their efforts, making profitability more challenging without other income streams. If you found this insight into US Bitcoin miners and their strategic pivot valuable, consider sharing it with your network! Stay informed on the evolving crypto and tech landscape by spreading the word. To learn more about the latest explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin institutional adoption. This post Remarkable: US Bitcoin Miners’ Market Cap Soars to $39 Billion first appeared on BitcoinWorld and is written by Editorial Team
Share
Coinstats2025/09/03 09:00
Share