Author: arndxt, Crypto KOL
Translated by: Felix, PANews
We are currently at the end of a cycle of extreme financialization.
An altcoin can increase tenfold in a month, only to plummet 20% in a single day, and CT will react with astonishment. We are currently in a bubble, but the bubble is only superficial. The deeper issues lie in liquidity, distortions, and a civilization gradually collapsing under the weight of its own contradictions.
The S&P 500 hits a new high, and people celebrate. But if you step back, the so-called all-time high is nothing more than a liquidity illusion, measured in a currency that has no backing and is driven by inflation. Adjusted for inflation, the S&P has shown no progress since the 2000s. This isn't "growth," it's a chart of the money supply.
And the Fed won't cut rates next week. Optimistically, in September, if the economic situation worsens, there might be another cut in December. But interest rate adjustments can't solve anything. We're facing a structural problem now, and only three things truly matter:
The modern monetary order has reached its end. Built on a foundation of ever-expanding debt, it now faces intractable internal contradictions. The old strategies—stimulus, bailouts, policy shifts—all relied on a key illusion: more debt equals greater prosperity.
But that illusion is unravelling. Productivity growth is stagnating. Demographics are working against the system. The working-age population is shrinking, dependency ratios are widening, and consumption is increasingly reliant on credit rather than income. The machine is aging and no longer self-repairing.
Soros's superbubble theory, often misinterpreted as market analysis, is actually a critique of epistemology—how a false narrative props up a false system. 2008 should have shattered that myth. But it didn't. The coronavirus pandemic did, because the cost was moral. Governments have proven unable to protect their citizens in the most literal, biological sense. Many governments believe that survival is not equal for all.
The result is a decline in legitimacy. Today's institutions are more like facades propped up by surveillance, subsidies, and psychological warfare. The Epstein case was not an anomaly but a fleeting revelation of the true structure: a system where crime, governance, and capital are intertwined. The United States is no longer hiding its corruption; it's monetizing it.
The discussion surrounding artificial general intelligence (AGI) remains mired in naive optimism. Most still believe AI will become as widespread as Excel or AWS, a productivity tool monetized through subscriptions.
This is an unrealistic fantasy.
If machines gain the ability to self-improve, simulate complex systems, and design new weapons—whether biological, chemical, or cyberweapons—it won't be open source.
Nuclear technology has not been democratized. CRISPR technology cannot be freely used. Every powerful technology ultimately becomes a tool of state governance, and superintelligence is no exception.
What Sam Altman hinted at, and what Jensen Huang quietly conveyed through his foray into synthetic biology, is not about consumer productivity but about mastering the trajectory of the posthuman. Moderna, the multinational pharmaceutical company, is a case in point; its upcoming products won't be sold in CVS pharmacies.
The public will have no access to AGI. They will only interact with neutered fragments of AGI, encapsulated in user interfaces. The real systems will be hidden, limited, and trained to serve strategic purposes. But this won't stop most people from having other ideas. However, belief is no match for infrastructure.
Until now, money has bought comfort, safety, and social status, but not time. This is changing. With the accelerating development of AI to decode the genome and synthetic biology, we are heading towards an era where longevity will become an engineering advantage.
But don't mistake this for a public health revolution. True life extension, cognitive enhancement, and embryonic optimization will be extremely expensive, heavily regulated, and politically controversial. Governments are already overwhelmed by aging populations. They won't encourage longevity.
Thus, the rich will not only get richer, but also become biologically distinct, and not metaphorically. The ability to alter the human blueprint will create a new economic class: those who can escape the mortality curve through biotech patents.
Such a future cannot be scaled; it is a path of privilege. Longevity will become the ultimate luxury, priced for the few. This is why most "longevity funds" underperform. The reward is survival, and survival cannot be scaled.
The present is diverging into distinct tracks, each with its own political economy:
The first group funds the second. The third group rebels against both.
Most will "go with the flow" (blindly follow), barely surfacing, unaware that they have become products rather than participants. But for those who foresee the future, choosing to exit is no longer neutral; it's a form of resistance.
The market is filled with noise. Cryptocurrencies, stocks, and income plays are optional tools, not salvation. The real game is about survival. The question is who can escape the collapse, and under what conditions.
If you understand this, the question isn't how to "beat the market." It's how to prepare for asymmetries in a system that no longer serves its participants.
You won't see it in price action, you'll see it in systems thinking.
Most people don't look up. Most people don't believe until it's too late. Even if it costs them everything. Because dying in ignorance is worse than dying penniless.
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