XLM Price Prediction: Targets $0.28-$0.31 by March Amid Bullish Technical Setup

Luisa Crawford Feb 26, 2026 07:59

Stellar (XLM) shows bullish momentum with analysts targeting $0.28-$0.31 range, supported by neutral RSI and key resistance breakout potential above $0.17.

XLM Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $0.225 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.28-$0.31 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.17 • Critical support: $0.15

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Stellar

Recent analyst coverage reveals cautious optimism for Stellar's price trajectory. According to Alvin Lang's January 2 analysis, "XLM price prediction points to $0.28-$0.31 upside potential as technical indicators show early bullish momentum, with immediate resistance at $0.24 acting as key breakout level."

MEXC News provided more conservative short-term projections, setting a one-week target of $0.225, representing a modest 2.3% upside from current levels. However, their medium-term Stellar forecast is significantly more bullish, targeting the $0.28-$0.31 range within one month, which would represent a substantial 27-41% upside potential.

While specific analyst predictions remain limited, on-chain metrics from major data platforms suggest underlying strength in Stellar's fundamentals, supporting these bullish price projections.

XLM Technical Analysis Breakdown

XLM currently trades at $0.16, showing a solid 6.28% gain in the past 24 hours with trading volume reaching $11.5 million on Binance. The technical picture presents a mixed but potentially constructive setup for further upside.

The RSI reading of 45.06 places Stellar firmly in neutral territory, providing room for upward movement without immediate overbought concerns. This neutral momentum indicator suggests XLM has space to rally toward resistance levels without triggering aggressive profit-taking.

The MACD histogram sits at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has potentially exhausted itself. While the MACD signal line remains slightly negative at -0.0077, the convergence toward zero suggests a potential momentum shift could be imminent.

Bollinger Band analysis reveals XLM positioned at 0.56 within the bands, sitting comfortably above the middle band ($0.16) but below the upper resistance at $0.17. This positioning indicates controlled bullish pressure without excessive volatility expansion.

Key technical levels show immediate resistance at $0.17, which aligns closely with the upper Bollinger Band. A decisive break above this level could trigger momentum toward the stronger resistance zone at $0.18. Support remains solid at $0.15, corresponding to the lower Bollinger Band and recent intraday lows.

Stellar Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

The bullish case for XLM centers on breaking the immediate resistance at $0.17, which would validate the analyst targets in the $0.28-$0.31 range. Technical confirmation would require sustained trading above $0.17 with increased volume, potentially triggering algorithmic buying and momentum traders.

The path to $0.225 appears achievable within the one-week timeframe, representing natural progression from current levels. Medium-term targets of $0.28-$0.31 would require broader market support and potential fundamental catalysts within Stellar's ecosystem.

Daily ATR of $0.01 suggests normal volatility conditions, providing a conducive environment for steady price appreciation without excessive whipsaws that could derail bullish momentum.

Bearish Scenario

Bearish risks emerge if XLM fails to hold the $0.15 support level, which could trigger deeper selling toward the stronger support zone at $0.14. The fact that current price ($0.16) remains well below the 50-day SMA ($0.19) and significantly under the 200-day SMA ($0.28) indicates the longer-term trend remains challenging.

A break below $0.15 would invalidate the near-term bullish thesis and potentially expose XLM to further downside testing. The wide gap between current price and longer-term moving averages suggests substantial overhead supply that could limit rally attempts.

Should You Buy XLM? Entry Strategy

Current technical positioning suggests selective buying opportunities for risk-tolerant traders. The optimal entry strategy involves waiting for a decisive break above $0.17 resistance with volume confirmation, targeting the $0.225 level initially.

Conservative investors might consider scaling into positions around current levels ($0.16) while maintaining strict risk management with stop-losses below $0.15. This approach provides a favorable risk-reward ratio given the proximity to support levels.

For momentum traders, the key trigger remains a sustained move above $0.17, which could initiate the rally toward analyst targets. Position sizing should reflect the inherent volatility in cryptocurrency markets and individual risk tolerance.

Conclusion

The XLM price prediction landscape presents a cautiously optimistic outlook, with analyst targets of $0.28-$0.31 appearing achievable if technical resistance levels yield. The neutral RSI and converging MACD suggest potential for renewed bullish momentum, while the $0.17 resistance level serves as the critical catalyst for this Stellar forecast.

However, investors should maintain realistic expectations and implement proper risk management, as cryptocurrency price predictions remain inherently speculative. The medium-term targets represent significant upside potential but require sustained market support and successful navigation of key technical levels.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk, and prices can be highly volatile. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

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