BNB Tests $831 Support as $23B Bitcoin Options Expiry Triggers Crypto Volatility

Rebeca Moen
Dec 26, 2025 16:55

Binance Coin drops 1.15% to $831.05 amid broader market turbulence from massive Bitcoin options expiration, with BNB approaching critical Bollinger Band support levels.

Quick Take

• BNB trading at $831.05 (down 1.1% in 24h)
• $23 billion Bitcoin options expiry creates market-wide volatility
• BNB price testing lower Bollinger Band support at $818.79
• Following Bitcoin weakness amid heightened derivatives-driven turbulence

Market Events Driving Binance Coin Price Movement

The primary catalyst weighing on BNB price today is the expiration of approximately $23 billion worth of Bitcoin options on December 26, creating significant volatility ripples across the broader cryptocurrency market. This massive derivatives expiration has triggered institutional repositioning and increased trading volumes, with Binance Coin experiencing downward pressure alongside Bitcoin’s decline.

While positive U.S. GDP data released on December 23 initially provided some support to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, the options expiry event has overshadowed any bullish sentiment from traditional market indicators. The scale of this Bitcoin options expiration represents one of the largest on record, explaining the heightened volatility affecting BNB and other major cryptocurrencies.

The correlation between Bitcoin and Binance Coin remains strong during this period, with BNB price movements closely following the broader crypto market’s reaction to derivatives-related selling pressure.

BNB Technical Analysis: Testing Lower Band Support

Price Action Context

Binance Coin technical analysis reveals BNB currently trading below all major moving averages, with the token at $831.05 versus the 20-day SMA at $865.52. The 1.15% decline has pushed BNB price toward the lower Bollinger Band at $818.79, representing a critical support test. Trading volume of $105.4 million on Binance spot market indicates elevated activity as the token approaches this key technical level.

The positioning below the 7-day SMA at $846.15 and 12-day EMA at $850.32 suggests short-term bearish momentum, though the overall trend classification remains bullish given the token’s position relative to longer-term averages.

Key Technical Indicators

The RSI reading of 38.76 places BNB in neutral territory with room for further downside before reaching oversold conditions. The MACD histogram at -1.15 confirms bearish momentum, while the stochastic indicators (%K: 14.76, %D: 20.24) suggest BNB is approaching oversold territory.

The Bollinger Band %B position of 0.13 indicates Binance Coin is trading near the lower band, historically a level where bounces occur. The daily ATR of $31.05 reflects current volatility levels that traders should factor into position sizing.

Critical Price Levels for Binance Coin Traders

Immediate Levels (24-48 hours)

• Resistance: $865.52 (20-day moving average and Bollinger middle band)
• Support: $818.79 (Bollinger lower band and immediate technical support)

Breakout/Breakdown Scenarios

A break below the $818.79 support could trigger further selling toward the $790.79 strong support level, representing the next major floor for BNB price. Conversely, a reclaim of the $850 area would signal potential stabilization, with upside targets at $928 immediate resistance.

BNB Correlation Analysis

Bitcoin’s weakness from options expiry is directly impacting Binance Coin, with the correlation remaining elevated during this volatility period. Traditional markets showed mixed signals, with positive GDP data providing some underlying support, though crypto-specific factors are dominating price action.

The broader crypto market is experiencing similar pressure, with BNB’s performance in line with other major altcoins during this derivatives-driven selloff.

Trading Outlook: Binance Coin Near-Term Prospects

Bullish Case

A successful defense of the $818.79 Bollinger Band support, combined with Bitcoin stabilization post-options expiry, could trigger a relief bounce in BNB price. Target levels include $850 initial resistance and $865 for a meaningful recovery.

Bearish Case

Failure to hold current support levels amid continued Bitcoin weakness could see BNB price decline toward $790.79 strong support. Extended crypto market volatility from derivatives positioning remains a key risk factor.

Risk Management

Conservative traders should consider stops below $815 to limit downside exposure, while maintaining position sizes appropriate for the elevated $31.05 daily ATR. The options expiry period typically lasts 24-48 hours, suggesting volatility may persist through the weekend.

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