TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.00-$2.40 Recovery by February 2026

Tony Kim
Jan 23, 2026 06:30

TON Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $1.61-$1.70 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range • Bullish breakout level: $1.97 (Upper Bollinger Band) •…

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.61-$1.70
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.97 (Upper Bollinger Band)
• Critical support: $1.48-$1.49

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

While specific analyst predictions from major crypto opinion leaders are limited in recent days, recent forecasts provide valuable insight into TON’s trajectory. According to CoinCodex analysis from January 15, “Toncoin is expected to reach a price of $2.20 by Jan 20, 2026,” setting a bullish target that remains relevant for the coming weeks.

More recently, Blockchain.News reported on January 19 that “Toncoin shows oversold conditions at $1.61 with technical indicators suggesting potential recovery toward $2.00-$2.40 range as RSI remains neutral and MACD shows bullish momentum.” This Toncoin forecast aligns with current technical conditions showing the token trading near oversold territory.

According to on-chain data analysis, TON’s current positioning suggests a potential reversal from recent selling pressure, with multiple technical indicators supporting a recovery scenario in the near term.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

The current TON price prediction analysis reveals mixed but increasingly constructive signals. At $1.53, Toncoin trades significantly below most moving averages, with the price sitting 37% below the 200-day SMA of $2.43, indicating long-term bearish pressure.

However, short-term momentum indicators paint a more nuanced picture. The RSI reading of 37.71 places TON in neutral territory, approaching oversold conditions without reaching extreme levels. This suggests selling pressure may be moderating rather than accelerating.

The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates a potential inflection point, with bearish momentum potentially stalling. While still negative, the convergence toward zero suggests the downtrend may be losing steam.

Bollinger Bands analysis shows TON positioned at 0.11, meaning the price sits very close to the lower band at $1.48. This oversold positioning often precedes bounce attempts, with the middle band at $1.72 representing the first major resistance target.

Key support levels cluster around $1.48-$1.51, while resistance emerges at $1.57 and more significantly at $1.61, where previous support has likely turned into resistance.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In an optimistic TON price prediction scenario, Toncoin could target the $2.00-$2.40 range within 4-6 weeks. The path higher would likely unfold in stages:

First, TON needs to reclaim the $1.61 resistance level, which would confirm the oversold bounce thesis. From there, the 20-day EMA at $1.66 becomes the next target, followed by the critical $1.72 middle Bollinger Band.

A sustained move above $1.80 would open the door for a test of the $2.00 psychological level, with the upper Bollinger Band at $1.97 serving as a key technical milestone. The bullish target zone of $2.00-$2.40 aligns with previous support levels that could act as resistance on any recovery attempt.

Technical confirmation for this Toncoin forecast would require RSI moving above 50 and MACD histogram turning decisively positive, indicating genuine momentum shift rather than just a temporary bounce.

Bearish Scenario

The bearish case for this TON price prediction centers on a break below the critical $1.48-$1.49 support zone. Such a breakdown could trigger additional selling pressure, potentially targeting the next major support levels.

Given the 24-hour trading range low of $1.53 and the lower Bollinger Band at $1.48, a sustained break below these levels would suggest the oversold bounce scenario has failed. In this case, TON could decline toward previous lows or seek new support levels in the $1.30-$1.40 range.

Risk factors include continued broad crypto market weakness, lack of positive catalysts for the TON ecosystem, and failure to generate sufficient buying interest near current oversold levels.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical analysis, potential TON buyers should consider a layered approach. The immediate support zone of $1.48-$1.51 offers a logical entry area for those seeking to capitalize on oversold conditions.

A more conservative entry strategy would wait for confirmation above $1.61, signaling that the bounce attempt has gained traction. This approach sacrifices some upside potential but reduces the risk of catching a falling knife.

For risk management, stop-losses should be placed below $1.45, representing a clear break of the current support structure. Position sizing should reflect the high volatility environment, with the daily ATR of $0.08 suggesting potential for significant intraday movements.

Profit-taking targets could be set at $1.70 (first resistance), $1.85 (halfway to bullish target), and $2.00-$2.20 for longer-term holders aligned with the optimistic Toncoin forecast.

Conclusion

This TON price prediction suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for the coming weeks, with technical indicators supporting a potential recovery toward the $2.00-$2.40 range. While TON currently trades in oversold territory, the lack of extreme readings and stabilizing momentum indicators suggest a bounce attempt is increasingly likely.

The convergence of analyst targets around $2.00-$2.40 and technical resistance levels provides confidence in the upside scenario, though traders should remain mindful of the broader crypto market environment and manage risk accordingly.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and involve significant risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

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