Strategy’s Michael Saylor Predicts Bitcoin Will Double S&P 500 Returns Despite Market Downturn

TLDR

• Michael Saylor predicts bitcoin will double or triple S&P 500 performance over the next four to eight years
• Strategy now holds 714,644 BTC worth approximately $49 billion, representing 3.4% of bitcoin’s total supply
• The company reported a $12.4 billion net loss in Q3 2025 as bitcoin dropped from $126,000 to below $70,000
• Saylor vows Strategy will continue buying bitcoin every quarter and has no plans to sell
• CEO Phong Le says the company’s debt would only face stress if bitcoin fell to $8,000 and stayed there for five to six years

Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor remains confident in bitcoin’s long-term prospects despite recent market volatility. The company’s stock and bitcoin holdings have faced pressure following a sharp decline in cryptocurrency prices.

Bitcoin reached an all-time high above $126,000 in October 2025 before crashing below $70,000. The cryptocurrency is now down 28.6% over the past year.

Strategy shares have experienced even steeper losses, falling 58.82% over the same period. The stock recently dropped to around $103 before recovering to approximately $138 this week.

Company Expands Holdings Through Market Downturn

The company disclosed on Monday it purchased another 1,142 BTC for roughly $90 million. This brings Strategy’s total holdings to 714,644 BTC, more than 3.4% of bitcoin’s fixed supply.

The value of these holdings currently sits below the firm’s total acquisition cost. Strategy reported a net loss of $12.4 billion, or $42.93 per common share, in Q3 2025.

Saylor appeared on CNBC’s Squawk Box on Tuesday to address investor concerns. He dismissed worries about forced selling due to market pressure.

Strategy originally started as an enterprise software company in 1989. The firm began acquiring bitcoin in 2020 during the coronavirus pandemic.

Saylor viewed bitcoin as a superior alternative to holding U.S. dollars on the balance sheet. The company has since become the world’s largest corporate bitcoin holder.

CEO Phong Le addressed credit risk concerns during a recent earnings call. He explained the company’s balance sheet would only face serious strain under extreme conditions.

Bitcoin would need to fall roughly 90% to around $8,000 and remain there for five to six years. Le described this scenario as unlikely.

The company also holds what Saylor described as 50 years’ worth of dividends in bitcoin. He stated that even if bitcoin fell 90% over four years, Strategy would refinance its debt.

Banks would continue lending because bitcoin’s volatility ensures it will maintain value, according to Saylor. He downplayed concerns about bitcoin’s production cost creating a price floor at $60,000.

Instead, Saylor pointed to institutional adoption by Wall Street firms like BlackRock as a bullish factor. He believes this adoption will drive long-term price growth.

Strategy has faced scrutiny from MSCI over its heavy bitcoin allocation. MSCI considered removing stocks with Strategy from its indices because the company dedicates over 50% of its balance sheet to digital assets.

MSCI delayed its decision but the proposal remains under consideration. This uncertainty has added to pressure on Strategy’s stock price.

Bitcoin was trading at $69,767.74 at the time of reporting, down 1.3% over 24 hours. Strategy stock was trading at $136.69, down 1.75% for the day.

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