On November 3, 2025, Balancer lost over $120 million in one of the largest DeFi breaches of the year. Attackers exploited a rounding direction error that had existed in the code for years. Users could only watch as their funds drained or race each other to the exit.On November 3, 2025, Balancer lost over $120 million in one of the largest DeFi breaches of the year. Attackers exploited a rounding direction error that had existed in the code for years. Users could only watch as their funds drained or race each other to the exit.

Why Balancer Lost $120M While Better Incentive Design Could Have Changed Everything

2025/11/17 02:43

\ On November 3, 2025, Balancer lost over $120 million in one of the largest DeFi breaches of the year. Attackers exploited a rounding error vulnerability across nine blockchain networks, draining liquidity pools through thousands of micro-transactions.

\ Yet the technical flaw, while devastating, reveals a more fundamental crisis in DeFi architecture: when protocols break, users have no incentive to stay and stabilize the system. They run. This article examines how incentive-driven protocol design, exemplified by SMARDEX’s USDN mechanism, could transform panic into participation during crises.

\

The Balancer Breach Exposes DeFi's Core Weakness

The November attack on Balancer wasn't sophisticated in the traditional sense. Attackers didn't break encryption or social engineer credentials. They exploited a rounding direction error that had existed in the code for years, compounding tiny discrepancies across thousands of transactions using the batchSwap function. Each individual transaction created a minuscule imbalance, but executed in rapid succession across multiple pools, these fractions accumulated into millions in losses.

\ Trail of Bits analysis revealed that similar rounding vulnerabilities had plagued the DeFi ecosystem for years. Hundred Finance was completely drained in 2023 due to a rounding issue. Sonne Finance fell victim to the same vulnerability in 2024, one of that year's biggest hacks. The pattern is clear: as simple attack vectors become scarce, attackers hunt for arithmetic edge cases that auditors miss. Balancer had undergone extensive auditing by multiple top firms and maintained bug bounty programs, yet the vulnerability persisted.

\ The technical breach matters less than what happened next. Balancer's total value locked plummeted from $442 million to $214 million in less than 24 hours as users rushed to exit. One whale who had been dormant for three years suddenly withdrew $6.5 million. The protocol couldn't pause all affected pools because many were outside the pause window, having been deployed years earlier. Users could only watch as their funds drained or race each other to the exit.

\ The Balancer incident mirrors a broader problem in DeFi architecture. When protocols depeg or face security breaches, rational users have exactly one optimal strategy: exit immediately to minimize losses. No mechanism rewards staying. No system incentivizes restoring equilibrium. The protocol's survival depends entirely on faith, and faith evaporates the moment doubt enters.

\ Consider the Terra Luna collapse in May 2022, which erased $45 billion in value. When UST depegged below $1, users who understood the mint and burn mechanism faced a clear choice: burn UST for LUNA at face value and sell on the market, or hold and hope others would arbitrage the peg back. The rational move was to burn and sell. As more users chose this path, LUNA's supply hyperinflated from 300 million to over 6 trillion tokens in days, destroying all value.

\ The problem wasn't just that UST lacked collateral backing. Terra's redemption mechanism was capped at $300 million daily to prevent a bank run from destroying LUNA's value, but LUNA collapsed anyway while barely any UST supply was reduced. By the time developers raised the cap to $1.2 billion, LUNA's market cap had already fallen to $2 billion. Users who stayed lost everything. Users who exited early preserved capital.

\ Research published in Ledger Journal found that UST redemption consistently undercompensated users, with the token's price on exchanges following the redeemed value users could obtain by swapping UST for LUNA and selling on the market. The incentive structure was fundamentally misaligned. The protocol needed users to maintain their positions to survive, but offered them no compensation for the risk of doing so.

\

Game Theory Shows Why Traditional DeFi Breaks

Game theory provides the framework for understanding these failures. In Nash equilibrium, no participant can improve their outcome by unilaterally changing strategy. Traditional DeFi protocols during crises operate in the opposite state: every participant improves their outcome by exiting, creating a coordination failure.

\ The prisoner's dilemma captures this dynamic. Two prisoners interrogated separately can either cooperate with each other by staying silent, or defect by testifying. If both stay silent, both get light sentences. If one defects while the other stays silent, the defector goes free while the other gets maximum punishment. If both defect, both get heavy sentences. The rational individual choice is always to defect, even though mutual cooperation produces the best collective outcome.

\ DeFi bank runs follow this pattern exactly. If all users maintain positions, the protocol stabilizes and everyone preserves value. If some users exit while others stay, those who exit preserve capital while those who stay absorb losses. If everyone exits, the protocol dies and everyone loses, but waiting means losing more. The individually rational choice is always to exit first.

\ Research on DeFi mechanisms shows that successful protocols must align individual incentives with collective outcomes. Proof of Work mining achieves this by making honest behavior more profitable than cheating. Liquidity mining creates incentives for capital provision by offering rewards. But during crises, most protocols offer nothing. The mechanism that maintains stability during normal operations fails precisely when it matters most.

\

How Dynamic Incentives Create Self-Healing Systems

The solution lies in mechanism design that creates immediate, powerful financial rewards for stabilizing behavior during crises. This approach doesn't rely on altruism or community spirit. It relies on users acting in their own financial self-interest, where the most profitable action happens to be the one that restores protocol health.

\ SMARDEX USDN protocol demonstrates this principle through its dual-sided architecture. The protocol operates as a delta-neutral system where one side holds USDN tokens backed by assets in a vault, while the other side opens leveraged long positions. When the system becomes imbalanced in either direction, funding rates adjust dynamically to incentivize corrective action.

\ If long positions exceed vault balance, longs pay positive funding rates to the vault side. This generates yield for USDN holders, making it profitable to mint new USDN tokens and add assets to the vault. As more assets enter the vault, the imbalance corrects itself. The greater the imbalance, the higher the funding rate, creating increasingly strong incentives for users to restore equilibrium.

\ If vault balance exceeds trading exposure, the vault pays negative funding rates to longs. Traders get paid to open leveraged positions and borrow assets. Simultaneously, USDN holders face losses as the vault pays out funding, incentivizing them to redeem USDN tokens and reduce the vault balance. Both mechanisms push the protocol back toward balance through individual profit seeking.

\ The funding rate itself is proportional to the square of the imbalance between trading exposure and vault balance. Small imbalances create small incentives. Large imbalances create massive incentives. The protocol uses an adaptive skew factor calculated as an exponential moving average of daily funding rates to ensure longs pay appropriate interest for borrowing assets even when the system is balanced.

\

What This Means for Protocol Survival

The difference between failure and recovery during crises comes down to whether users can profit from stabilization. When Balancer faced its breach, users who stayed risked losing more. When Terra depegged, users who maintained positions absorbed maximum losses. The rational strategy was always to exit.

\ With incentive-driven architecture, the calculation reverses. When USDN faces downward pressure, users who provide collateral to restore the peg earn the highest returns. They're not saving the protocol out of loyalty. They're capturing profit opportunities that increase proportionally with the severity of the imbalance. The protocol doesn't need users to be heroes. It needs them to be greedy.

\ This approach addresses the fundamental vulnerability that allowed the Balancer hack to cause such devastation. The rounding error enabled the technical exploit, but the mass exodus afterward turned a large loss into a catastrophic one. If Balancer had embedded incentive mechanisms that rewarded users for maintaining positions or adding liquidity during the crisis, market dynamics could have worked to contain the damage rather than amplify it.

\ Consider how this might have played out differently. As the hack began draining pools, users monitoring the system would see increasing yield opportunities for providing liquidity to affected pools. Arbitrageurs would profit from price discrepancies. The protocol would automatically reward stabilizing behavior without requiring governance votes or emergency interventions. User self-interest would work with the protocol instead of against it.

\

Beyond Stablecoins: Incentives as Infrastructure

The principles extend beyond stablecoins. Any DeFi protocol facing stress can embed mechanisms that turn vulnerability into opportunity. Lending protocols could increase interest rates for depositors during bank runs, making it profitable to maintain deposits. DEXs could adjust fee structures to reward liquidity providers during high volatility. Collateralized debt positions could offer enhanced yields for adding collateral during market crashes.

\ The key is that these incentives must activate automatically, scale with the severity of the crisis, and provide immediate financial benefits. Delayed rewards don't work because users can't wait through crashes. Fixed rewards don't work because they may not compensate for risk during extreme events. Manual interventions don't work because they're too slow and may never materialize.

\ Research on improving DeFi mechanisms using dynamic games and optimal control shows that protocols must adapt redemption prices aggressively in low-arbitrage scenarios to incentivize speculators to maintain the peg. In high-arbitrage markets, constant redemption prices work because market forces eliminate discrepancies. But during crises, arbitrage breaks down and protocols need explicit incentive mechanisms to fill the gap.

\

Lessons From the Balancer Battlefield

The Balancer exploit demonstrates that even extensively audited protocols can harbor critical vulnerabilities. Multiple security firms reviewed the code. Bug bounty programs were active. Yet the rounding error persisted for years until attackers discovered how to weaponize it through batch operations. Static security measures failed.

\ What protocols need are dynamic defense mechanisms that activate during attacks, not just preventive measures that attempt to eliminate all vulnerabilities. The former accepts that breaches will occur and builds resilience into the system. The latter pursues an impossible goal and creates brittle architectures that catastrophically fail when assumptions break.

\ Analysis from Crypto Valley Journal noted that battle-tested protocols with multiple audits and billions in assets can still conceal severe vulnerabilities, marking a serious setback for trust in DeFi. The response cannot be more audits. Audits are necessary but insufficient. The response must be resilient architecture that continues functioning even when components fail.

\ This parallels concepts from traditional financial engineering, where redundancy and fail-safes protect systems. Banks maintain capital buffers, liquidity reserves, and access to central bank facilities precisely because they know crises will occur. DeFi protocols need equivalent protective mechanisms, implemented through code rather than institutions.

\

Why This Matters Now

The timing of this conversation is critical. DeFi has matured past its experimental phase but hasn't yet solved fundamental architectural problems. Total value locked in DeFi exceeds hundreds of billions across protocols, but security incidents continue to plague the ecosystem. Hackers stole over $2 billion in 2024 alone, with 61% attributed to North Korean-aligned actors according to Chainalysis.

\ We're at an inflection point where the industry can either continue building protocols that are secure in theory but fail catastrophically in practice, or shift toward architectures that accept vulnerabilities will exist and build resilience into system design. The latter approach doesn't abandon security. It adds a second layer of defense that activates precisely when the first layer fails.

\ SMARDEX's USDN isn't the only possible implementation of incentive-driven stability. Other protocols could embed similar mechanisms using different technical approaches. The core insight transcends specific implementations: DeFi protocols must reward users for stabilizing behavior during crises, making it profitable to help rather than profitable to flee.

\ This isn't about trusting human nature or building community. It's about aligning incentives so that the most selfish action is also the most beneficial action for the protocol. It's about turning game theory from an analytical tool into an engineering principle.

\

\ First, security audits should evaluate not just whether code is vulnerable, but whether protocols are resilient to both known and unknown vulnerabilities. This means analyzing what happens when things break, not just trying to prevent them from breaking.

\ Second, stress testing should include not just market scenarios but incentive scenarios. What happens to user behavior during various crisis conditions? Do incentives create stabilizing or destabilizing feedback loops? Can the protocol survive if key assumptions fail?

\ Third, mechanism design should prioritize self-healing properties over perfect security. Protocols that automatically correct imbalances through incentive mechanisms are more robust than protocols that rely on perfect code and user altruism.

\ The Balancer hack won't be the last major DeFi breach. Arithmetic edge cases and sophisticated exploits will continue to emerge as attackers become more skilled. But the difference between a major loss and a catastrophic collapse lies in how protocols respond during crises. Incentive mechanisms that activate automatically, scale with severity, and reward stabilizing behavior can transform potential death spirals into recovery opportunities.

\ Don’t forget to like and share the story!

:::tip This author is an independent contributor publishing via our business blogging program. HackerNoon has reviewed the report for quality, but the claims herein belong to the author. #DYO

:::

\ \

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Fed forecasts only one rate cut in 2026, a more conservative outlook than expected

Fed forecasts only one rate cut in 2026, a more conservative outlook than expected

The post Fed forecasts only one rate cut in 2026, a more conservative outlook than expected appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talks to reporters following the regular Federal Open Market Committee meetings at the Fed on July 30, 2025 in Washington, DC. Chip Somodevilla | Getty Images The Federal Reserve is projecting only one rate cut in 2026, fewer than expected, according to its median projection. The central bank’s so-called dot plot, which shows 19 individual members’ expectations anonymously, indicated a median estimate of 3.4% for the federal funds rate at the end of 2026. That compares to a median estimate of 3.6% for the end of this year following two expected cuts on top of Wednesday’s reduction. A single quarter-point reduction next year is significantly more conservative than current market pricing. Traders are currently pricing in at two to three more rate cuts next year, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, updated shortly after the decision. The gauge uses prices on 30-day fed funds futures contracts to determine market-implied odds for rate moves. Here are the Fed’s latest targets from 19 FOMC members, both voters and nonvoters: Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwards The forecasts, however, showed a large difference of opinion with two voting members seeing as many as four cuts. Three officials penciled in three rate reductions next year. “Next year’s dot plot is a mosaic of different perspectives and is an accurate reflection of a confusing economic outlook, muddied by labor supply shifts, data measurement concerns, and government policy upheaval and uncertainty,” said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management. The central bank has two policy meetings left for the year, one in October and one in December. Economic projections from the Fed saw slightly faster economic growth in 2026 than was projected in June, while the outlook for inflation was updated modestly higher for next year. There’s a lot of uncertainty…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 02:59
Whales Dump 200 Million XRP in Just 2 Weeks – Is XRP’s Price on the Verge of Collapse?

Whales Dump 200 Million XRP in Just 2 Weeks – Is XRP’s Price on the Verge of Collapse?

Whales offload 200 million XRP leaving market uncertainty behind. XRP faces potential collapse as whales drive major price shifts. Is XRP’s future in danger after massive sell-off by whales? XRP’s price has been under intense pressure recently as whales reportedly offloaded a staggering 200 million XRP over the past two weeks. This massive sell-off has raised alarms across the cryptocurrency community, as many wonder if the market is on the brink of collapse or just undergoing a temporary correction. According to crypto analyst Ali (@ali_charts), this surge in whale activity correlates directly with the price fluctuations seen in the past few weeks. XRP experienced a sharp spike in late July and early August, but the price quickly reversed as whales began to sell their holdings in large quantities. The increased volume during this period highlights the intensity of the sell-off, leaving many traders to question the future of XRP’s value. Whales have offloaded around 200 million $XRP in the last two weeks! pic.twitter.com/MiSQPpDwZM — Ali (@ali_charts) September 17, 2025 Also Read: Shiba Inu’s Price Is at a Tipping Point: Will It Break or Crash Soon? Can XRP Recover or Is a Bigger Decline Ahead? As the market absorbs the effects of the whale offload, technical indicators suggest that XRP may be facing a period of consolidation. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently sitting at 53.05, signals a neutral market stance, indicating that XRP could move in either direction. This leaves traders uncertain whether the XRP will break above its current resistance levels or continue to fall as more whales sell off their holdings. Source: Tradingview Additionally, the Bollinger Bands, suggest that XRP is nearing the upper limits of its range. This often points to a potential slowdown or pullback in price, further raising concerns about the future direction of the XRP. With the price currently around $3.02, many are questioning whether XRP can regain its footing or if it will continue to decline. The Aftermath of Whale Activity: Is XRP’s Future in Danger? Despite the large sell-off, XRP is not yet showing signs of total collapse. However, the market remains fragile, and the price is likely to remain volatile in the coming days. With whales continuing to influence price movements, many investors are watching closely to see if this trend will reverse or intensify. The coming weeks will be critical for determining whether XRP can stabilize or face further declines. The combination of whale offloading and technical indicators suggest that XRP’s price is at a crossroads. Traders and investors alike are waiting for clear signals to determine if the XRP will bounce back or continue its downward trajectory. Also Read: Metaplanet’s Bold Move: $15M U.S. Subsidiary to Supercharge Bitcoin Strategy The post Whales Dump 200 Million XRP in Just 2 Weeks – Is XRP’s Price on the Verge of Collapse? appeared first on 36Crypto.
Share
Coinstats2025/09/17 23:42
Crucial Token Unlocks This Week: $36.8M ZRO Release and Market Impact Analysis

Crucial Token Unlocks This Week: $36.8M ZRO Release and Market Impact Analysis

BitcoinWorld Crucial Token Unlocks This Week: $36.8M ZRO Release and Market Impact Analysis Are you prepared for this week’s significant token unlocks that could reshape market dynamics? According to recent data from Tokenomist, several major cryptocurrency projects are scheduled to release substantial amounts of tokens between November 17-23, with ZRO leading the pack at $36.76 million. These token unlocks represent critical moments for investors and traders alike, as they often trigger notable price movements and trading opportunities. What Are Token Unlocks and Why Do They Matter? Token unlocks refer to the scheduled release of previously locked or vested cryptocurrency tokens into circulating supply. Understanding these events is crucial because they directly impact: Market supply dynamics – Increased circulating supply can affect token prices Investor sentiment – Large unlocks may create selling pressure Project development – Funds released often support ecosystem growth These scheduled token unlocks serve as important calendar events that every crypto enthusiast should monitor closely. Breaking Down This Week’s Major Token Unlocks The upcoming week features several significant token unlock events that deserve your attention. The most substantial release comes from ZRO, which will unlock 25.71 million tokens valued at approximately $36.76 million. This represents 7.29% of their circulating supply and is scheduled for November 20 at 2:00 a.m. UTC. Other important token unlocks include: KAITO: 8.35 million tokens ($6.16 million) on November 20 MBG: 15.84 million tokens ($7.23 million) on November 22 SOON: 15.21 million tokens ($29.66 million) on November 22 Each of these token unlocks represents a different percentage of circulating supply, making their potential market impact vary significantly. How Do Token Unlocks Affect Crypto Prices? Historical data shows that token unlocks often create temporary price volatility. When large amounts of tokens enter circulation, several scenarios can unfold. Early investors and team members might choose to sell their newly unlocked tokens, creating downward pressure. However, well-managed projects often use these token unlocks to fund development and ecosystem growth. The timing and magnitude of these token unlocks matter greatly. Projects releasing smaller percentages of circulating supply typically experience less dramatic price movements. Conversely, larger token unlocks like ZRO’s 7.29% release require careful market observation and strategic positioning. Strategic Insights for Navigating Token Unlocks Successful crypto investors develop specific strategies around token unlock events. Monitoring these scheduled releases helps you anticipate potential market movements and make informed decisions. Consider these approaches when dealing with upcoming token unlocks: Research project fundamentals before each token unlock event Monitor trading volumes around unlock dates for unusual activity Diversify exposure across multiple projects with different unlock schedules Set appropriate stop-loss orders to manage risk during volatile periods Understanding the purpose behind each token unlock provides valuable context for your investment decisions. Why This Week’s Token Unlocks Demand Attention This particular week of token unlocks stands out due to the combined value and timing of releases. With multiple major projects scheduled within days of each other, the cumulative effect could influence broader market sentiment. The ZRO token unlock alone represents a substantial market event that could set the tone for similar projects in its category. Moreover, the concentration of token unlocks around November 20-22 creates a critical period for market participants. Tracking how these events unfold provides valuable lessons for future token unlock scenarios and helps refine your trading strategies. Conclusion: Mastering Token Unlock Dynamics Token unlocks represent fundamental events in cryptocurrency markets that every serious investor must understand. This week’s scheduled releases, particularly the major ZRO token unlock, offer real-time learning opportunities and potential trading setups. By staying informed about these events and developing strategic approaches, you can navigate token unlock periods with greater confidence and potentially identify valuable market opportunities. Frequently Asked Questions What exactly happens during a token unlock? During a token unlock, previously restricted tokens become available for trading or transfer. These tokens were typically locked for team members, early investors, or as part of vesting schedules. Do token unlocks always cause price drops? Not necessarily. While increased supply can create selling pressure, well-managed projects often see stable or even positive price action if the unlock supports ecosystem growth and development. How can I track upcoming token unlocks? Several platforms like Tokenomist, CoinMarketCap, and specialized crypto calendars provide schedules of upcoming token unlock events across multiple projects. Should I sell before a token unlock? This depends on your investment strategy and the specific project. Some investors reduce exposure before major unlocks, while others see them as buying opportunities if they believe in the project’s long-term vision. What percentage of unlock is considered significant? Typically, unlocks representing more than 5% of circulating supply are considered significant and likely to impact price action, though this varies by project size and market conditions. Can token unlocks be positive for a project? Yes, when unlocked tokens fund development, marketing, or ecosystem incentives, they can strengthen the project and create long-term value despite short-term volatility. Found this analysis of token unlocks helpful? Share this article with fellow crypto enthusiasts on Twitter and LinkedIn to help them stay informed about critical market events. Knowledge sharing strengthens our entire community and helps everyone make better investment decisions. To learn more about the latest cryptocurrency trends, explore our article on key developments shaping blockchain technology and future price action. This post Crucial Token Unlocks This Week: $36.8M ZRO Release and Market Impact Analysis first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
Share
Coinstats2025/11/17 08:40